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Elo Outcome Simulator

🎮 Elo Outcome Simulator

Experiment with hypothetical matchups and preview expected Elo changes. Understand the impact of wins, losses, rating disparity, and run multi-match simulations.

⚙️ Setup

📊 Simulation Settings

10
500

🎯 Single Match Analysis

50% 50%

If A Wins

A's ELO Change: +20
B's ELO Change: -20
A's New ELO: 1020
B's New ELO: 980

If B Wins

A's ELO Change: -20
B's ELO Change: +20
A's New ELO: 980
B's New ELO: 1020
K-Factor A: 40 K-Factor B: 40

📈 Multi-Match Simulation

Expected Wins A 5.0
Expected Wins B 5.0
Avg Final ELO A 1000
Avg Final ELO B 1000

📊 ELO Outcome Ranges (Player A)

950 1000 1050
25th-75th percentile 5th-95th percentile

ELO Progression Distribution

Final ELO Distribution (Player A)